Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.3% vs Cates 40.4% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 73.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 78.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Coleman
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
40.4% (841)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
42.4% (66)
+7.6%
On power play, Coleman has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coleman is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Coleman shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Coleman
Cates
Home
39.1% (23)
38.2% (566)
Away
57.9% (19)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Coleman
Cates
P1
47.1%
40.5%
P2
58.8%
42.4%
P3
25.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%