Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.9% vs 44.5%). Coleman wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.9% vs Cates 45.8% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 55.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 67.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Coleman
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (61)
44.3% (271)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
77.8% (18)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
31.7% (41)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coleman is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Coleman shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Coleman
Cates
Home
41.0% (39)
52.0% (148)
Away
50.0% (30)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Coleman
Cates
P1
33.3%
42.7%
P2
52.6%
42.9%
P3
52.2%
48.5%
Final 5 min
35.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%