Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs Cates 45.1% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 66.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 75.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Coleman
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
46.7% (912)
+3.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
33.9% (56)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
35.0% (137)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Coleman has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Coleman shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Coleman
Cates
Home
46.5% (43)
46.1% (521)
Away
50.0% (36)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Coleman
Cates
P1
56.0%
48.0%
P2
41.2%
42.3%
P3
50.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%