Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.7% vs Cates 45.5% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Cates 57.9%
Defensive zone
Coleman 50.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Coleman
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (20)
45.4% (712)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On even strength, Cates has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coleman is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Coleman shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Coleman
Cates
Home
50.0% (12)
46.3% (423)
Away
33.3% (18)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Coleman
Cates
P1
46.2%
46.3%
P2
40.0%
47.1%
P3
28.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%