Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 71.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Coleman
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
56.1% (690)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coleman is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Coleman shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Coleman
O'Reilly
Home
39.1% (23)
58.3% (408)
Away
57.9% (19)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Coleman
O'Reilly
P1
47.1%
57.7%
P2
58.8%
54.8%
P3
25.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%