Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Coleman
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
56.2% (983)
-6.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
55.5% (254)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
52.0% (102)
-5.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Coleman shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Coleman
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (43)
56.2% (697)
Away
50.0% (36)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Coleman
O'Reilly
P1
56.0%
54.5%
P2
41.2%
55.5%
P3
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%