Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.7% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Coleman
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (20)
55.4% (826)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.4% (129)
-0.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coleman is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Coleman shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Coleman
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (12)
55.8% (579)
Away
33.3% (18)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Coleman
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
57.7%
P2
40.0%
54.8%
P3
28.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%