Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.3%). Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Strome 52.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 82.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Lizotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lizotte
Strome
Last 9: Lizotte 4-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Lizotte
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
50.6% (684)
+0.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
58.9% (192)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
33.3% (3)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Strome
Home
52.5% (326)
51.3% (448)
Away
50.5% (281)
53.4% (431)
By Period
Lizotte
Strome
P1
51.4%
51.4%
P2
56.3%
54.6%
P3
46.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |