Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Strome 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 79.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Lizotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lizotte
Strome
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Lizotte
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
4
Lizotte
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
48.3% (894)
+4.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.5% (182)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
66.7% (6)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Strome
Home
51.4% (383)
46.4% (513)
Away
50.9% (424)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Lizotte
Strome
P1
48.8%
44.9%
P2
51.0%
50.8%
P3
53.5%
49.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |