Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Strome 51.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 82.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 75.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Lizotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
19
(42 meetings)
23
19
Lizotte
Strome
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
8
Lizotte
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
14
4
Lizotte
Strome
18 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Lizotte
Strome
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
50.1% (6,337)
+1.5%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
58.4% (1,519)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
45.6% (68)
-3.3%
On power play, Strome has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Strome
Home
49.5% (1,840)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Lizotte
Strome
P1
48.0%
50.4%
P2
52.3%
52.1%
P3
50.5%
52.3%
OT
75.0%
52.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |