Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Strome 53.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 95.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 76.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 59.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lizotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lizotte
Strome
Last 8: Lizotte 7-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
52.6% (968)
+0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
56.9% (311)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
62.5% (8)
-23.9%
On power play, Strome has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Strome
Home
52.0% (198)
53.4% (653)
Away
49.7% (149)
53.9% (634)
By Period
Lizotte
Strome
P1
50.0%
49.3%
P2
50.9%
54.6%
P3
52.2%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |