Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Hayes 47.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 68.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 62.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Lizotte
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lizotte
Hayes
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lizotte
Hayes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
47.5% (6,708)
+4.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
51.7% (702)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
45.3% (697)
-3.0%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hayes
Home
49.5% (1,840)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Lizotte
Hayes
P1
48.0%
47.5%
P2
52.3%
47.6%
P3
50.5%
47.9%
OT
75.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |