Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Hayes 51.7% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 70.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Lizotte
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
51.6% (386)
+1.9%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
53.2% (47)
-53.2%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
60.0% (20)
-21.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hayes
Home
52.0% (198)
50.5% (200)
Away
49.7% (149)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Lizotte
Hayes
P1
50.0%
58.8%
P2
50.9%
49.3%
P3
52.2%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%