Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Lizotte
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
48.5% (557)
+4.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
53.3% (107)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
58.3% (12)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hayes
Home
51.4% (383)
50.8% (313)
Away
50.9% (424)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Lizotte
Hayes
P1
48.8%
52.3%
P2
51.0%
47.7%
P3
53.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%