Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Hayes 56.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Lizotte
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Lizotte
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
56.6% (724)
-8.7%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
57.0% (79)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
65.7% (35)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hayes
Home
48.8% (170)
58.0% (405)
Away
45.1% (195)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Lizotte
Hayes
P1
44.4%
54.7%
P2
53.3%
55.7%
P3
43.0%
60.2%
Final 5 min
43.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |