Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Hayes 42.7% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 78.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 87.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lizotte
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
31.9% (91)
+21.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
64.3% (14)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
0.0% (1)
+43.1%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hayes
Home
44.2% (242)
30.6% (49)
Away
56.0% (234)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Lizotte
Hayes
P1
49.6%
22.9%
P2
46.9%
40.0%
P3
52.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%