Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.2%). Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Hayes 50.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 51.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lizotte
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lizotte
Hayes
Last 6: Lizotte 4-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
51.3% (672)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
50.0% (78)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
40.8% (76)
+3.2%
On power play, Lizotte has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lizotte is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Lizotte shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hayes
Home
48.5% (336)
52.0% (404)
Away
52.1% (286)
48.6% (422)
By Period
Lizotte
Hayes
P1
48.2%
50.7%
P2
54.1%
50.2%
P3
47.1%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |