Blake Lizotte vs Michael McCarron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs McCarron 54.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 68.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Lizotte
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lizotte
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Lizotte
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Lizotte
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
62.8% (86)
-10.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.0% (2)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
44.4% (18)
-3.0%
On even strength, McCarron has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McCarron
Home
51.4% (383)
59.5% (42)
Away
50.9% (424)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Lizotte
McCarron
P1
48.8%
71.0%
P2
51.0%
48.7%
P3
53.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |