Blake Lizotte vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs McCarron 52.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 62.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 67.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Lizotte
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Lizotte
McCarron
Last 6: Lizotte 0-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Lizotte
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Lizotte
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Lizotte
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
53.1% (672)
-0.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
18.2% (11)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
53.7% (205)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McCarron
Home
44.2% (242)
52.8% (477)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Lizotte
McCarron
P1
49.6%
56.5%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |