Blake Lizotte vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs McCarron 52.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 18-3 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 77.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 53.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Lizotte
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
18
(21 meetings)
3
18
Lizotte
McCarron
Last 10: Lizotte 1-9 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
4
Lizotte
McCarron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
6
Lizotte
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
8
Lizotte
McCarron
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
53.4% (2,901)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
45.3% (86)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
50.5% (463)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McCarron
Home
49.5% (1,840)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Lizotte
McCarron
P1
48.0%
53.9%
P2
52.3%
52.5%
P3
50.5%
52.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |