Blake Lizotte vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs McCarron 54.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 60.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 59.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lizotte
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Lizotte
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Lizotte
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
54.2% (756)
-0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
55.6% (9)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
55.1% (158)
-16.5%
On power play, McCarron has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McCarron
Home
52.0% (198)
54.6% (445)
Away
49.7% (149)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Lizotte
McCarron
P1
50.0%
53.6%
P2
50.9%
55.6%
P3
52.2%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |