Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 56.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 62.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 66.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Lizotte
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (279)
51.3% (712)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (102)
47.5% (217)
-1.4%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lizotte is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Lizotte shoots left. Backlund is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Backlund
Home
45.1% (182)
49.0% (449)
Away
58.8% (199)
51.8% (531)
By Period
Lizotte
Backlund
P1
51.9%
46.9%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
54.3%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |