Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Backlund 49.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 51.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Lizotte
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
50.1% (891)
+2.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.1% (64)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
47.8% (278)
-4.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Backlund
Home
44.2% (242)
48.1% (580)
Away
56.0% (234)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Lizotte
Backlund
P1
49.6%
45.1%
P2
46.9%
54.7%
P3
52.6%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |