Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Backlund 50.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 52.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lizotte
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Lizotte
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
51.5% (983)
-0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
49.4% (87)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
45.3% (159)
+5.6%
On power play, Lizotte has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Backlund
Home
52.5% (326)
51.6% (653)
Away
50.5% (281)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Lizotte
Backlund
P1
51.4%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
49.8%
P3
46.1%
51.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |