Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.9%). Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Backlund 50.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Lizotte
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Lizotte
Backlund
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
Lizotte
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
7
0
Lizotte
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Lizotte
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
51.9% (1,083)
+0.6%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
51.7% (120)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
44.3% (183)
-2.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Backlund
Home
51.4% (383)
51.9% (673)
Away
50.9% (424)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Lizotte
Backlund
P1
48.8%
51.4%
P2
51.0%
50.5%
P3
53.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |