Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Backlund 48.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 53.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Lizotte
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lizotte
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
50.4% (1,032)
+3.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
52.3% (107)
-52.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
40.6% (313)
-2.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Backlund
Home
52.0% (198)
48.7% (749)
Away
49.7% (149)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Lizotte
Backlund
P1
50.0%
50.4%
P2
50.9%
50.1%
P3
52.2%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |