Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Backlund 50.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 71.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Lizotte
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lizotte
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Lizotte
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Lizotte
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
51.0% (1,205)
-3.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
59.3% (108)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
42.3% (234)
-1.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Backlund
Home
48.8% (170)
51.2% (782)
Away
45.1% (195)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Lizotte
Backlund
P1
44.4%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
49.8%
P3
43.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
43.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |