Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Backlund 47.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 55.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Lizotte
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lizotte
Backlund
Last 6: Lizotte 2-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Lizotte
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Lizotte
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
47.3% (630)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
48.5% (66)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
46.3% (82)
-2.3%
On power play, Lizotte has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lizotte is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Lizotte shoots left. Backlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Backlund
Home
48.5% (336)
50.4% (347)
Away
52.1% (286)
44.8% (431)
By Period
Lizotte
Backlund
P1
48.2%
46.7%
P2
54.1%
44.9%
P3
47.1%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |