Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Cates 40.4% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 88.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 74.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 87.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Lizotte
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lizotte
Cates
Last 5: Lizotte 5-0 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
40.4% (841)
+12.1%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
42.4% (66)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
32.7% (147)
+8.7%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cates
Home
51.4% (383)
38.2% (566)
Away
50.9% (424)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Lizotte
Cates
P1
48.8%
40.5%
P2
51.0%
42.4%
P3
53.5%
35.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |