Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Cates 45.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 59.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 56.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lizotte
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
44.3% (271)
+3.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
77.8% (18)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
31.7% (41)
+9.6%
On power play, Cates has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cates
Home
48.8% (170)
52.0% (148)
Away
45.1% (195)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Lizotte
Cates
P1
44.4%
42.7%
P2
53.3%
42.9%
P3
43.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |