Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 58.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lizotte
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
60.4% (260)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
54.0% (261)
-3.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Home
52.5% (326)
54.9% (801)
Away
50.5% (281)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Lizotte
O'Reilly
P1
51.4%
58.0%
P2
56.3%
56.7%
P3
46.1%
55.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |