Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 75.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lizotte
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
56.2% (983)
-2.7%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
55.5% (254)
-55.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
52.0% (102)
-13.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Home
52.0% (198)
56.2% (697)
Away
49.7% (149)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Lizotte
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
54.5%
P2
50.9%
55.5%
P3
52.2%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%