Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Wheeler wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 78.0%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 78.5%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 73.7%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Last 10: Wheeler 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Wheeler
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Wheeler
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Wheeler
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
57.3% (1,073)
-6.7%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
58.5% (258)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
50.7% (225)
-4.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wheeler is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Wheeler shoots right. O'Reilly is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Home
52.8% (352)
59.2% (765)
Away
46.3% (300)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Wheeler
O'Reilly
P1
46.8%
55.6%
P2
57.7%
61.0%
P3
44.8%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |