Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 64.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 76.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Wheeler
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
56.1% (690)
-2.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
64.6% (96)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.9% (109)
-12.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wheeler is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Wheeler shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Home
53.8% (65)
58.3% (408)
Away
49.2% (61)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Wheeler
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
57.7%
P2
56.5%
54.8%
P3
51.2%
55.2%
Final 5 min
61.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |