Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +37.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 44.6% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-37.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 78.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Wheeler
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
6.7% (15)
56.6% (1,064)
-49.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.4% (260)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
54.0% (261)
-20.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +49.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wheeler is 18.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Wheeler shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Home
42.9% (7)
54.9% (801)
Away
7.1% (14)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Wheeler
O'Reilly
P1
37.5%
58.0%
P2
0.0%
56.7%
P3
14.3%
55.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
19.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%