Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 54.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 55.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Wheeler
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
55.0% (1,084)
+6.8%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
56.8% (303)
+3.9%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wheeler is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Wheeler shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Home
46.2% (26)
54.8% (759)
Away
72.2% (36)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Wheeler
O'Reilly
P1
76.9%
55.3%
P2
62.1%
51.9%
P3
50.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
76.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%