Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 25-9 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 89.6%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 94.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 96.1%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
25
(34 meetings)
9
25
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Last 10: Wheeler 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Wheeler
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
14
Wheeler
O'Reilly
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Wheeler
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
56.2% (15,260)
-9.5%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
58.8% (3,445)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
51.4% (2,811)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Wheeler
O'Reilly
Home
47.5% (883)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
44.2% (822)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Wheeler
O'Reilly
P1
45.0%
55.6%
P2
48.2%
57.0%
P3
44.5%
55.1%
OT
37.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |