Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 48.1% vs McDavid 53.4% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.4%
Neutral zone
Groulx 55.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Groulx
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (75)
54.3% (1,002)
-5.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
44.8% (29)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
33.3% (15)
-19.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Groulx is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Groulx shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Groulx
McDavid
Home
50.0% (56)
53.6% (507)
Away
37.0% (27)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Groulx
McDavid
P1
48.0%
52.6%
P2
44.8%
54.1%
P3
44.8%
54.9%
Final 5 min
36.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
45.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%