Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 49.2% vs McDavid 51.8% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Groulx
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (9)
51.5% (889)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
51.2% (86)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Groulx is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Groulx shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Groulx
McDavid
Home
45.0% (20)
50.7% (513)
Away
0.0% (0)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Groulx
McDavid
P1
42.9%
52.3%
P2
75.0%
51.6%
P3
33.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
45.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%