Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs McDavid 47.9% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 63.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Groulx
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
47.5% (650)
+1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
48.6% (72)
-48.6%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
46.5% (43)
-18.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Groulx is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Groulx shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Groulx
McDavid
Home
52.8% (36)
50.2% (400)
Away
36.7% (49)
44.7% (365)
By Period
Groulx
McDavid
P1
50.0%
47.5%
P2
40.6%
48.6%
P3
41.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%