Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 48.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Groulx 54.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 54.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Groulx
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (75)
48.9% (352)
+0.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
81.3% (16)
-81.3%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
42.2% (45)
-27.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +81.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Groulx is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Groulx shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Groulx
Carrick
Home
50.0% (56)
46.9% (192)
Away
37.0% (27)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Groulx
Carrick
P1
48.0%
48.1%
P2
44.8%
50.0%
P3
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
45.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%