Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Carrick 53.8% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 60.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 53.9%
Neutral zone
Groulx 55.2%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Groulx
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Groulx
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Groulx
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
55.1% (439)
-5.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
49.1% (53)
-21.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Groulx is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Groulx shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Groulx
Carrick
Home
52.8% (36)
58.2% (225)
Away
36.7% (49)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Groulx
Carrick
P1
50.0%
56.7%
P2
40.6%
52.8%
P3
41.9%
54.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |