Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Carrick 52.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 63.4%
Defensive zone
Groulx 58.1%
Neutral zone
Groulx 62.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Groulx
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Groulx
Carrick
Last 6: Groulx 2-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Groulx
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Groulx
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
52.1% (2,513)
-6.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
61.3% (75)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
50.7% (430)
-13.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Groulx is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Groulx shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Groulx
Carrick
Home
49.8% (241)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
38.3% (222)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Groulx
Carrick
P1
45.3%
51.8%
P2
44.8%
52.2%
P3
42.9%
52.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |