Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Carrick 53.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 58.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 54.1%
Neutral zone
Groulx 55.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Groulx
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Groulx
Carrick
Last 5: Groulx 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Groulx
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
53.9% (521)
-10.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.1% (35)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
51.5% (229)
-7.7%
On even strength, Carrick has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Groulx is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Groulx shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Groulx
Carrick
Home
49.6% (129)
52.7% (408)
Away
39.0% (146)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Groulx
Carrick
P1
43.6%
51.4%
P2
45.0%
56.6%
P3
43.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
42.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |