Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Horvat 53.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 61.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Matthews
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Matthews
Horvat
Last 5: Matthews 1-4 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Matthews
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Matthews
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
54.0% (1,606)
-1.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
52.9% (308)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.0% (104)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Matthews
Horvat
Home
54.3% (420)
57.2% (987)
Away
50.3% (491)
50.2% (1,031)
By Period
Matthews
Horvat
P1
54.2%
53.9%
P2
54.3%
53.7%
P3
47.8%
53.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |