Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 56.5%). Horvat wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Tkachuk 53.8% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 68.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 75.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Horvat
Tkachuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (493)
59.6% (89)
-3.2%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
50.9% (57)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (83)
100.0% (1)
-55.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (461).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
58.8% (391)
52.9% (87)
Away
54.4% (353)
61.7% (60)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
61.2%
61.0%
P2
53.1%
59.5%
P3
55.1%
52.4%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%