Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 77.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 65.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 90.7%
9.3%
90.7%
Horvat
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Horvat
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
2
Horvat
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
45.4% (183)
+10.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
53.2% (250)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
100.0% (2)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
58.8% (724)
51.1% (233)
Away
55.3% (751)
49.0% (202)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
57.0%
42.9%
P2
57.5%
52.2%
P3
57.0%
53.7%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |