Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Tkachuk 52.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 78.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Horvat
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Tkachuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Tkachuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Horvat
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
47.9% (192)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
57.8% (187)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
0.0% (1)
+51.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
54.2% (714)
56.0% (175)
Away
53.6% (705)
49.8% (205)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
53.5%
55.0%
P2
56.3%
51.9%
P3
53.5%
47.3%
OT
28.6%
77.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |