Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Tkachuk 48.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 75.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Horvat
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Horvat
Tkachuk
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
4
Horvat
Tkachuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Tkachuk
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
47.5% (421)
+7.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
50.3% (336)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
12.5% (8)
+39.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
59.8% (853)
49.9% (389)
Away
53.8% (832)
46.8% (376)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
55.0%
44.4%
P2
58.3%
51.8%
P3
57.8%
47.8%
OT
44.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |