Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Tkachuk 56.0% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Horvat
Tkachuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
56.8% (139)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
60.6% (94)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
100.0% (1)
-53.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
58.2% (469)
50.4% (121)
Away
54.0% (544)
67.3% (113)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
59.6%
57.1%
P2
53.1%
60.0%
P3
55.5%
58.3%
OT
55.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%