Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Tkachuk 48.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 67.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 82.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Horvat
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Horvat
Tkachuk
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
4
Horvat
Tkachuk
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Tkachuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
48.5% (99)
+2.2%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
46.7% (150)
+18.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
54.1% (599)
50.7% (136)
Away
51.8% (626)
43.4% (113)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
50.8%
45.9%
P2
50.0%
54.4%
P3
57.7%
42.2%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 15, 2021 | OT | 01:00 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |